The Morning Morsel

“Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit on his hands, heist the black flag, and begin slitting throats”– H.L. Mencken

The Ides of March came and went without much fanfare. Today is the end of the quarter and believe it or not, earnings will be upon us again in a couple of weeks. So where does that leave the market? We will certainly see the “sell in May and go away” crowd resurface in a week or two. It’s good theater and also fun to debate the future, but Mr. Market cares nary a wit what we think.

The short sellers are standing by wounded, but liquid as all get out, and no, all those hedge fund cash inflows aren’t just to BUY stocks. Is a crescendo building before we have a massive can of whoppass bestowed upon us, topped off with a healthy dose of reality? I had one down day in March and it was a blip-that AIN’T normal. Everybody’s a bull market genius and that breeds complacency. Complacency in the market can be as dangerous as spring break in Kabul.

Maybe we’ll just go strait to 1250, but tight stops. Very tight.

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Economic
08:15 March ADP Employment Change
08:30 Canada Jan GDP
09:30 Brazil Feb Net Debt to GDP, Budget Balance
09:45 March Chicago PMI
10:00 Feb Factory Orders, March NAPM Milwaukee
10:30 DoE Crude Oil/Gasoline/Distillate Inventories
12:00 Colombia Feb Unemployment
Events
12:30 Fed’s Lockhart to speak on employment. 12:30 Fed’s Duke to address bankers in Arizona. 07:00 MBA Mortgage Applications. Trades Ex-dividend: CPB $0.275, KIM $0.16, LTD $1.00.
Earnings
Before the Open: APWR, AYI, BPZ, DG, FTK, LNN, RAD, HEAT, UNF. After the Close: ANGO, DMAN, GPN, BLUD, MOS, OMER, RIMM, RECN, RINO, XRTX.

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