That Pesky Dollar

{+++}The dollar moved higher from the open today and that weighed on the market from the beginning. We also saw a bond auction that didn’t go well and interest rates popped and TBT higher. Today’s action was an example of how sensitive the market is to higher rates and a higher dollar. Today we got both. The market couldn’t tag yesterday’s high and only touched the 1101 area.

It was a giveback day, but the bulls are still in charge and there is no technical damage yet. I mentioned on Stocktwits.tv today that support was at 1084 when the market was around 1094, we closed at 1087, not bad, too bad I wasn’t short some futures. We have two economic reports tomorrow, nothing major, it will be interesting to see if the bears push their luck or will the bulls defend the hill. Obviously the 1100 area is a formidable challenge so far. 1105 then 1111 are upside resistance levels that I am watching and 1084 then 1080 for starters as downside support.

I have one name tonight, a short, and I have mentioned it for over a week now on Twitter, but GT could have some issues going forward. I personally got short today (around 13.90) and I will give this one a little time to work. Recent stopped shorts like CMG and EXPE look like they are starting to work a bit here. By definition “early” means wrong in the market, but these names as well as others, can be revisited short if the market stays weak. Of course I will keep you posted if we need to make a move. This has been a lethargic market even when it goes up, the temptation is to over trade and create set ups that aren’t there. Be mindful of that. I hardly traded today and feel better for it.

Have a great night, if things get crazy either way, I will post to the site, but I don’t like making major moves on Friday.

GT-SHORT
GT-SHORT
Date Symbol Long Price Short Price Stop Action Result P/(L) Triggered
9-24-09
MCO 23.00 22.00 Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

Stopped 1/3

+2.00

+4.30

+1.00

yes
MHP 26.19 26 Covered ½,stopped on balance flat +2.00 yes
NAV 40.31 39 Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

+1.30

+3.00

+2.03

yes
QSFT 16.30 16 Sold ½, sold balance(10-13-9) +.80

+1.70

yes
SIGA 8.43 7.65 Stopped -.80 yes
MELA 10.50 9.50 Stopped -1.00 yes
9-28-09 COCO 17.29 18.25 Sold ½

Stopped 1/2

+1.00

-.90

yes
ZION 17.39 19.00 Stopped ½ flat yes
9-30-09 YGE 11.90 12.60 -.70 yes
VNO 63.00 65.50 flat yes
XCO 19.05 18.00 stopped -1.05 yes
MHGC 5.60 5.20 -.40 yes
10-1-09 CALI 6.35 5.50 stopped -.85 no
CENX 8.97 9.60 stopped +.50 yes
BAC 16.02 16.80 stopped -.78 yes
AAP 37.70 39.40 stopped -1.70 yes
10-05-09 EXC 47.78 50 stopped -2..22 yes
JEF 27.60 27.90 Sold 100% (10-13-9) +1.60 yes
TSPT 14.35 13.70 stopped -.65 yes
HIG 29.05 28.30 stopped -.75 yes
APT 6.25 6.00 stopped -.25 yes
10-7-9 FCX 73.43 73.00 Sold half(10-13-9)

Sold balance10-14-9

+1.78

+3.10

yes
10-10-9 PENN 25.67 26.20 stopped -.53 yes
NITE 23.00 22.40 stopped -.60 yes
O 22.85 24.00 yes
STEC 25.51 25.80 Covered 1/3

Covered 2/3

+1.00

+3.50

yes
ARST 23.59 24.00 Sold 1/3

Sold 1/3

+1.20

+2.20

yes
FIRE 23.43 22.50 stopped -1.90 yes
10-14-9 HRBN 19.72 19.30 stopped -.50 yes
UCTT 6.95 6.30 stopped -.65 yes
10-15-09 MS 33.35 33.00 Sold all +2.00
10-16-9 QSII 65.76 64.00 stopped -1.76 yes
ACI 24.22 23.20 stopped -1.02 yes
10-19-9 MEE 33.64 34.50 stopped -1.20 yes
BTU 42.35 42.50 sold +.20 yes
FSLR 146.80 152 stopped -5.00 yes
ABAX 23.86 25.00 Covered ½

Covered 1/2

+1.00

+1.00

yes
PPD 40.12 41.50 yes
MCO 23.14 25.50 no
10-22-9 MCRS 27.40 28.00 Covered 1/3 +1.30 yes
AMAG 35.10 35.90 yes
TNDM 22.92 23.40 Covered ½

Covered ¼

Stopped 1/4

+1.90

+2.30

-.48

yes
BAC 16.05 16.60 Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

+.80

+1.00

+1.50

yes
VMI 75.70 76.70 Covered ½

Covered ¼

Covered balance

+3.00

+3.00

+4.00

yes
CMG 81.13 83.00 Stopped -1.87 yes
ROVI 28,09 29.00 Stopped -.91 yes
CCL 30.60 31.60 Covered 1/3 +1.30 yes
10-30-9 RTH 90.00 92.00 Stopped -2.00 yes
ROST 43.76 44.83 Stopped -1.10 yes
NIHD 27.25 28.25 Covered ½

Stopped 1/2

+1.90

-1.00

yes
FWLT 28.12 29.00 Stopped -.88 yes
11-2-09 CYOU 29.00 29.80 Stopped .-80 yes
YGE 11.17 11.70 Stopped -50 yes
JLL 46.38 47.20 Sold ½

Stopped 1/2

+1.30

-82

yes
XHB 13.70 14.30 Stopped -.60 yes
WFC 27.40 28.20 yes
11-5-09 FUQI 19.14 21.00 yes
CMG 87.50 89.50 Stopped -2.00 yes
EXPE 23.60 24.70 Stopped -1.10 yes
11-9-09 BBT 23.83 25.80 no
AIG 32.66 34.50 no
KRE 19.45 20.50 no
MEE 33.68 32.00 yes
XLF 13.62 14.10 no
BEC 65.50 68.50 yes
11-13-09 GT 13.74 15.25 no
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